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### We found 156 resources with the concept theoretical probability

Lesson Planet

#### Counting Events: Flipping Unfair Coins

Who said life was fair? An interactive uses an area diagram to represent the probabilities of flipping unfair coins. Pupils use the diagram to calculate the probabilities of outcomes of flipping the two coins. The scholars must decide...

Lesson Planet

#### What is a Random Walk?

Take a walk down random lane. Scholars learn about random walks, where a random process like flipping a coin determines the next move of the walk. The video explains the difference between recurrent and transient walks based on whether a...

EngageNY

#### Applying Probability to Make Informed Decisions

Use simulations to determine the probabilities of events to make decisions. Class members are presented with several scenarios, some with known probabilities and others without. Groups run simulations to gather data that they then use to...

EngageNY

#### Using Tree Diagrams to Represent a Sample Space and to Calculate Probabilities

Cultivate the tree of knowledge using diagrams with two stages. Pupils create small tree diagrams to determine the sample space in compound probability problems. The lesson uses only two decision points to introduce tree diagrams.

EngageNY

#### Chance Experiments with Outcomes That Are Not Equally Likely

The fifth portion of the 25-part series introduces probabilities calculated from outcomes that are not equally likely. Class members use tables to calculate probabilities of events, add outcome's probabilities, and find complements....

EngageNY

#### The Difference Between Theoretical Probabilities and Estimated Probabilities

Flip a coin to determine whether the probability of heads is one-half. Pupils use simulated data to find the experimental probability of flipping a coin. Participants compare the long run relative frequency with the known theoretical...

EngageNY

#### Mid-Module Assessment Task: Grade 7 Mathematics Module 5

Determine the probability that the class knows probability. The three-question assessment presents problems with finding the sample space and the probability, theoretical and experimental, of a variety of situations. Pupils also describe...

EngageNY

#### Calculating Probabilities of Compound Events

Use tree diagrams with multiple branches to calculate the probabilities of compound events. Pupils use tree diagrams to find the sample space for probability problems and use them to determine the probability of compound events in the...

EngageNY

#### Calculating Probabilities for Chance Experiments with Equally Likely Outcomes

Calculate theoretical probabilities and compare them to experimental probabilities. Pupils build on their knowledge of experimental probabilities to determine theoretical probabilities. Participants work several problems with the...

Lesson Planet

#### Normal Distributions

Pupils work to find probabilities by using areas under the normal curve. Groups work to calculate z-scores and solve real-world problems using the empirical rule or tables.

Lesson Planet

#### Statistics and Probability

Quickly assess basic understandings of statistics and probability. The resource contains five quick tasks from the probability and statistics domain. The questions range from finding simple conditional probabilities to measures of center...

Lesson Planet

#### Probability

How likely is it to draw a blue marble? Pupils find the likelihood of events and connect that to the probability of the event. They find the probabilities of simple events and show their probabilities on a scale.

Lesson Planet

#### Fair Games

Who said things were fair? The unit introduces probability and its connection to fairness. The class interacts with activities of chance and plays games to relate them to fairness. Groups design a fair game and develop a presentation....

Lesson Planet

#### Chance of Rain

Will it rain during the weekend? Pupils become meteorologists for a day as they use the assessment to determine the chance of rain for Saturday and Sunday. Class members interpret the weather statements as they pertain to probabilities...

Lesson Planet

#### Chance of Survival

Class members determine the chance of surviving two years by explaining the concept of probability expressed in a medical terms. Would-be doctors continue to explain a conditional probability statement as it relates to the total population.

EngageNY

#### Mid-Module Assessment Task: Pre-Calculus Module 5

Determine if any reteaching with a mid-module assessment task. The assessment covers the general multiplication rule, permutations and combinations, and probability distributions for discrete random variables.

EngageNY

#### Determining Discrete Probability Distributions 1

Learn how to determine a probability distribution. In the ninth installment of a 21-part module, future mathematicians use theoretical probabilities to develop probability distributions for a random variable. They then use these...

Lesson Planet

#### Dart Boards

Bulls eye! Design dart boards with specific chances of winning. Individuals determine the probability of hitting a circular and a triangular dart board inscribed in squares. They create dart boards that have a 50 percent chance of...

Lesson Planet

#### Winning Spinners

Winning a spin game is random chance, right? Pupils create a table to determine the sample space of spinning two spinners. Individuals determine the probability of winning a game and then modify the spinners to increase the probability...

Lesson Planet

#### Marble Game

Pupils determine the theoretical probability of winning a game of marbles. Individuals compare the theoretical probability to experimental probability for the same game. They continue on to compare two different probability games.

Lesson Planet

#### Counters

For some, probability is a losing proposition. The assessment item requires an understanding of fraction operations, probability, and fair games. Pupils determine the fractional portions of an event. They continue to determine whether...

Lesson Planet

#### Explorers – Patrol Services

Far out — plan a trip to space! Aspiring mathematicians steer a space vehicle through an asteroid field, calculate currency exchanges to buy provisions, and determine placement of charges to blow up asteroids. Along the way, they learn...

Lesson Planet

#### Fair Game?

The game should be fair at all costs. The mini-assessment revolves around the ability to use probabilities to determine whether a game is fair. Individuals determine compound events to calculate simple probabilities and make long-run...

EngageNY

#### Probability Rules (part 1)

In statistics, probability rules—literally! Learners use their previous knowledge and explore a set of rules for conditional probability, independent probability, and complements. Given different scenarios, they must determine what type...