West Contra Costa Unified School District
Introduction to Conditional Probability
Here is a turnkey lesson that walks young statisticians through the development and uses of conditional probability. From dice games to surveys, Venn diagrams to frequency tables, the class learns how a given can effect the overall...
CK-12 Foundation
Conditional Probability: Colorful Cubes
An interactive provides a model to visually represent the formula for the probability of an outcome. Given 10 numbered color cubes, pupils arrange them on the top and bottom shelf to represent the probability fraction. The learners...
CK-12 Foundation
Conditional Probability: Candy Store
An interactive uses a candy store to involve the pupils in conditional probabilities. Learners determine probabilities as customers purchase different types of candies and the stock decreases.
EngageNY
Calculating Conditional Probabilities and Evaluating Independence Using Two-Way Tables (part 1)
Being a statistician means never having to say you're certain! Learners develop two-way frequency tables and calculate conditional and independent probabilities. They understand probability as a method of making a prediction.
Math12
Conditional Probability
Conditional probability can be a confusing concept. A straightforward lesson provides reasonable examples of conditional probability, and models the most effective ways to reinforce the more complex parts of the lesson.
EngageNY
Calculating Conditional Probabilities and Evaluating Independence Using Two-Way Tables (part 2)
Without data, all you are is another person with an opinion. Show learners the power of statistics and probability in making conclusions and predictions. Using two-way frequency tables, learners determine independence by analyzing...
University of Nottingham
Modeling Conditional Probabilities: 2
Bring the concept of conditional probability alive by allowing your classes to explore different probability scenarios. Many tasks have multiple solutions that encourage students to continue exploring their problems even after a solution...
CK-12 Foundation
Conditional Probability: Game Show with Monty
The car is behind door one — no wait, it is behind door three. An interactive allows learners to visualize the Monty Hall problem. Pupils work through the probabilities of choosing the car with their first pick. Next, they determine...
Mathematics Vision Project
Probability
Probability, especially conditional probability, can be a slippery concept for young statisticians. Statements that seem self-evident on the surface often require a daunting amount of calculations to explicate, or turn out to be...
EngageNY
Probability Rules (part 1)
In statistics, probability rules—literally! Learners use their previous knowledge and explore a set of rules for conditional probability, independent probability, and complements. Given different scenarios, they must determine what type...
EngageNY
Calculating Probabilities of Events Using Two-Way Tables
Tables are useful for more than just eating. Learners use tables to organize data and calculate probabilities and conditional probabilities.
Mathematics Vision Project
Module 8: Probability
It's probably a good idea to use the unit. Young mathematicians learn about conditional probability using Venn diagrams, tree diagrams, and two-way tables. They also take into consideration independence and the addition rules.
Balanced Assessment
Dog Tags
Class members demonstrate a proficiency with conditional probabilities through this task. Individuals calculate probabilities using multiplication and addition. They also distinguish between repetition and non-repetition while...
Mathematics Assessment Project
Statistics and Probability
Quickly assess basic understandings of statistics and probability. The resource contains five quick tasks from the probability and statistics domain. The questions range from finding simple conditional probabilities to measures of...
University of California
Student Workbook: Statistics and Probability
Statistically, practicing this packet completely helps young mathematicians do well on the test. The packet is adaptable to many grade levels as it includes basic probability and goes up to data analysis with mean, median, and...
Shodor Education Foundation
Two Colors Applet
Find the box with two green balls. The applet uses six balls, three green and three red, and hides them in three boxes. Pupils choose a box and click on it to reveal the color of balls inside. Using the chosen box, the simulation keeps...
Flipped Math
Unit 12 Review: Probability and Normal Distributions
It's time to assess probability knowledge. Individuals complete a set of problems to review concepts from the unit. They identify outcomes and sample spaces, determine compound and conditional probabilities, and investigate situations...
Math12
Basics of Probability
Give your middle schoolers a fighting chance at understanding probability. Offering numerous examples that clearly demonstrate basic probability concepts, this resource helps young mathematicians learn how to visualize the...
EngageNY
Analyzing Decisions and Strategies Using Probability 1
Learn how to increase the probability of success. The 19th installment of a 21-part module teaches future mathematicians how to use probability to analyze decisions. They determine strategies to maximize the chances of a desired outcome.
CCSS Math Activities
Rolling for the Big One
Knowing math helps you win games. Learners apply conditional probability concepts in an engaging performance task. After playing a game in which players roll a 10-sided polyhedron and then try to place the digits to get the highest...
Balanced Assessment
Chance of Survival
Class members determine the chance of surviving two years by explaining the concept of probability expressed in a medical terms. Would-be doctors continue to explain a conditional probability statement as it relates to the...
Virginia Department of Education
Organizing Topic: Probability
The probability is high learning will occur! A well-designed unit introduces learners to the concepts of independent, dependent, and mutually exclusive events. Using Venn diagrams, the lessons ask learners to analyze many different...
Balanced Assessment
Lotto
You can't win if you don't play! Find out how to increase your chances of winning the lottery. Scholars analyze a state lottery system for the probability of winning. They also consider different combinations of numbers and how they...
Shodor Education Foundation
Simple Monty Hall
What's behind door number one? A fun resource lets learners simulate the classic Monty Hall probability problem. Pupils choose a door, and after they select a losing door, they decide whether to switch or stay. Using their decisions, the...