Assessment
Inside Mathematics

Marble Game

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
Pupils determine the theoretical probability of winning a game of marbles. Individuals compare the theoretical probability to experimental probability for the same game. They continue on to compare two different probability games.
Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Estimating Probabilities by Collecting Data

For Teachers 7th Standards
Take a spin to determine experimental probability. Small groups spin a spinner and keep track of the sums of the spins and calculate the resulting probabilities. Pupils use simulated frequencies to practice finding other probabilities to...
Lesson Plan
EngageNY

The Difference Between Theoretical Probabilities and Estimated Probabilities

For Teachers 7th Standards
Flip a coin to determine whether the probability of heads is one-half. Pupils use simulated data to find the experimental probability of flipping a coin. Participants compare the long run relative frequency with the known theoretical...
Assessment
Mathematics Assessment Project

Card Game

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Middle schoolers use 10 cards to determine whether the probability that the next card chosen is higher or lower than the previous.
Assessment
Noyce Foundation

Counters

For Teachers 6th - 7th Standards
For some, probability is a losing proposition. The assessment item requires an understanding of fraction operations, probability, and fair games. Pupils determine the fractional portions of an event. They continue to determine whether...
Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Comparing Estimated Probabilities to Probabilities Predicted by a Model

For Teachers 7th Standards
Small groups devise a plan to find the bag that contains the larger percentage of blue chips. they then institute their plans and compare results to the actual quantities in the bags. 
Assessment
EngageNY

Mid-Module Assessment Task: Pre-Calculus Module 5

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
Determine if any reteaching with a mid-module assessment task. The assessment covers the general multiplication rule, permutations and combinations, and probability distributions for discrete random variables.
AP Test Prep
College Board

1999 AP® Statistics Free-Response Questions

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
Closer to 2010 than expected. Several of the 1999 AP® Statistics free-response questions align to Common Core standards. Items ask pupils to analyze residuals, two-way tables, and calculate expected values to determine the fairness...
Unknown Type
The Franklin Institute

A Penny Flipped Is Science Learned

For Students 9th - 10th Standards
What is the probability that a penny will land on heads when flipped? Test this on Ben Franklin's birthday and find out!