EngageNY
Using Tree Diagrams to Represent a Sample Space and to Calculate Probabilities
Cultivate the tree of knowledge using diagrams with two stages. Pupils create small tree diagrams to determine the sample space in compound probability problems. The lesson uses only two decision points to introduce tree diagrams.
EngageNY
Chance Experiments with Outcomes That Are Not Equally Likely
The fifth portion of the 25-part series introduces probabilities calculated from outcomes that are not equally likely. Class members use tables to calculate probabilities of events, add outcome's probabilities, and find complements....
EngageNY
Chance Experiments with Equally Likely Outcomes
Take a deeper dive into equally likely probabilities. Pupils build upon their understanding of probability by determining sample spaces and outcomes. Individuals work with sample spaces and determine outcomes that are equally likely....
EngageNY
Comparing Estimated Probabilities to Probabilities Predicted by a Model
Small groups devise a plan to find the bag that contains the larger percentage of blue chips. they then institute their plans and compare results to the actual quantities in the bags.
EngageNY
Chance Experiments
Class members are introduced to probability using terms such as impossible, unlikely, likely, and certain. Numbers between zero and one are associated with the descriptions of probability. Pupils find the likelihood of chance experiments...
EngageNY
Mid-Module Assessment Task: Grade 7 Mathematics Module 5
Determine the probability that the class knows probability. The three-question assessment presents problems with finding the sample space and the probability, theoretical and experimental, of a variety of situations. Pupils also describe...
EngageNY
Conducting a Simulation to Estimate the Probability of an Event
How can you complete a simulation when it is not practical to determine the probability of an event? Class members learn that in some situations, it is not feasible to find the probability of an event, but they can estimate it by running...
EngageNY
Calculating Probabilities of Compound Events
Use tree diagrams with multiple branches to calculate the probabilities of compound events. Pupils use tree diagrams to find the sample space for probability problems and use them to determine the probability of compound events in the...
EngageNY
Calculating Probabilities for Chance Experiments with Equally Likely Outcomes
Calculate theoretical probabilities and compare them to experimental probabilities. Pupils build on their knowledge of experimental probabilities to determine theoretical probabilities. Participants work several problems with the...
EngageNY
Estimating Probabilities by Collecting Data
Take a spin to determine experimental probability. Small groups spin a spinner and keep track of the sums of the spins and calculate the resulting probabilities. Pupils use simulated frequencies to practice finding other probabilities to...
Illustrative Mathematics
Fred's Fun Factory
Spin to win! Individuals calculate the average number of tickets expected based on a probability distribution for the number of tickets per spin. Pupils use that information to determine the average number of tickets that can be won...
Mathematics Assessment Project
Statistics and Probability
Quickly assess basic understandings of statistics and probability. The resource contains five quick tasks from the probability and statistics domain. The questions range from finding simple conditional probabilities to measures of center...
Mathed Up!
Probability
How likely is it to draw a blue marble? Pupils find the likelihood of events and connect that to the probability of the event. They find the probabilities of simple events and show their probabilities on a scale.
Balanced Assessment
Dog Tags
Class members demonstrate a proficiency with conditional probabilities through this task. Individuals calculate probabilities using multiplication and addition. They also distinguish between repetition and non-repetition while...
EngageNY
The General Multiplication Rule
In the first installment of a 21-part module, scholars build on previous understandings of probability to develop the multiplication rule for independent and dependent events. They use the rule to solve contextual problems.
Inside Mathematics
Marble Game
Pupils determine the theoretical probability of winning a game of marbles. Individuals compare the theoretical probability to experimental probability for the same game. They continue on to compare two different probability games.
EngageNY
Using Permutations and Combinations to Compute Probabilities
Now that we know about permutations and combinations, we can finally solve probability problems. The fourth installment of a 21-part module has future mathematicians analyzing word problems to determine whether permutations or...
Noyce Foundation
Counters
For some, probability is a losing proposition. The assessment item requires an understanding of fraction operations, probability, and fair games. Pupils determine the fractional portions of an event. They continue to determine whether...
Noyce Foundation
Fair Game?
The game should be fair at all costs. The mini-assessment revolves around the ability to use probabilities to determine whether a game is fair. Individuals determine compound events to calculate simple probabilities and make long-run...
EngageNY
Probability Rules (part 1)
In statistics, probability rules—literally! Learners use their previous knowledge and explore a set of rules for conditional probability, independent probability, and complements. Given different scenarios, they must determine what type...
Mathematics Assessment Project
Evaluating Statements about Probability
Learners first complete an assessment task where they assess statements on probability. They then sort cards containing probability statements as being either true or false.
EngageNY
Margin of Error When Estimating a Population Proportion (part 2)
Error does not mean something went wrong! Learners complete a problem from beginning to end using concepts developed throughout the last five lessons. They begin with a set of data, determine a population proportion, analyze their result...
EngageNY
Sampling Variability in the Sample Proportion (part 1)
Increase your sample and increase your accuracy! Scholars complete an activity that compares sample size to variability in results. Learners realize that the greater the sample size, the smaller the range in the distribution of sample...
EngageNY
Using Sample Data to Estimate a Population Characteristic
How many of the pupils at your school think selling soda would be a good idea? Show learners how to develop a study to answer questions like these! The lesson explores the meaning of a population versus a sample and how to interpret the...