Theoretical Probability Activity

This Theoretical Probability Activity worksheet also includes:

If you keep rolling a die, you'll roll a five exactly one-sixth of the time—right? A probability lesson prompts young mathematicians to roll a die 100 times and use the data to calculate empirical probabilities. They then compare these probabilities to theoretical probabilities.

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CCSS: Designed
Instructional Ideas

  • Have learners work in pairs
  • Add together individual data to create class data, so the class can see how increasing number of trials brings experimental probability closer to theoretical probability
Classroom Considerations

  • You might need calculators to determine percents
Pros

  • Simple hands-on activity keeps pupils engaged in the material
Cons

  • Some typos and confusing sentences can make this difficult to understand
  • Numbering of critical thinking questions differs on the worksheet and the answer key
  • Lesson never mentions the phrases experimental probability and empirical probability
Common Core