American Statistical Association
What is the Probability of “Pigging Out”
Learners apply their understanding of luck to a probability experiment. They play a game of Pass the Pigs to determine the probability of a specific outcome. Using analysis for their data, pupils declare the measures of center, dot...
American Statistical Association
Exploring Geometric Probabilities with Buffon’s Coin Problem
Scholars create and perform experiments attempting to answer Buffon's Coin problem. They discover the relationships between geometry and probability, empirical and theoretical probabilities, and area of a circle and square.
University of Nottingham
Modeling Conditional Probabilities: 2
Bring the concept of conditional probability alive by allowing your classes to explore different probability scenarios. Many tasks have multiple solutions that encourage students to continue exploring their problems even after a solution...
Curated OER
Area of Circles and Probability
Students investigate the area of squares and circles. For this geometry lesson, students calculate the area and probability of simple events. They work on a laptop using Safari.
EngageNY
Estimating Probability Distributions Empirically 2
Develop probability distributions from simulations. Young mathematicians use simulations to collect data. They use the data to draw graphs of probability distributions for the random variable in question.
American Institutes for Research
Data and Probability: Marshmallow Madness
Upper grade and middle schoolers make predictions, collect data, and interpret the data as it relates to the concept of probability. They work with a partner tossing marshmallows and recording if they land on their side or on their...
Curated OER
Modeling Conditional Probabilities 1: Lucky Dip
Check out this detailed lesson plan on conditional probability! Learners work individually and also collaboratively to analyze the fairness of a game and justify their reasoning. it includes detailed notes and many helpful suggestions...
Illustrative Mathematics
Return to Fred's Fun Factory (with 50 Cents)
The penny arcade gets the statistics treatment in this fun probability investigation. A non-standard game of chance is described and then the class is set loose to find missing probabilities, determine common outcomes, and evaluate...
Curated OER
Concept: Dice Probabilities
In this probability worksheet, learners roll dice to determine the experimental probability of rolling each number on a die. The experiment is repeated using a dice rolling application on their computer. Students find the theoretical...
Curated OER
Binomial Probabilities: Understanding Math
Although this binomial probabilities worksheet is based on a computer math program (Neufeld Learning Systems: Understanding Math), it can easily be used without the program. If you don't have the program, skip the first question....
Curated OER
Simple Probability
Students explore simple probability. Each student spins a spinner and records the result as they enter the room. The recorded results are used to calculate experimental probabilities. After the teacher explains how to calculate...
Curated OER
Explorations for the Area Probability Applet
Math whizzes use the area probability applet to manipulate the size of the circle and the rectangle to explore the probability that a point in the rectangle is also in the circle.
Mathalicious
Three Shots
To foul or not to foul, that is the basketball question. High schoolers look at the probability that fouling out a player and allowing free throws yields a better outcome than allowing the original shot. The resource provides a teacher's...
Illustrative Mathematics
Waiting Times
Probability prevails in this assignment as youngsters determine the probability of finding a blue pen in a cereal box when they can come in blue, green, yellow, or red. Learners set up a simulation to determine the outcome of compound...
Shodor Education Foundation
Playing with Probability
Review basic probability concepts with your class using different-colored marbles in a bag. Then pair up learners and have them play a cool online interactive game in which they race miniature cars using the roll of a die or two. The...
TED-Ed
How Many Ways Can You Arrange a Deck of Cards?
Entertain and grab your learners' attention with a short video clip that engagingly teaches the concept of a permutation and how a factorial is a wonderful shortcut for theoretical probability calculations.
Curated OER
Probability
Sixth graders explore theoretical and experimental probability. In this probability lesson, 6th graders participate in several hands-on activities involving the comparison of theoretical probability to the actual results. Games include...
Curated OER
Probability
Students explore the concept of probability. In this probability activity, students flip coins and draw marbles out of a bag to determine probabilities of a particular outcome. Students discuss the differences between experimental and...
Curated OER
Probability in Daily Life
Sixth graders examine the use of probability in daily life. In this probability lesson, 6th graders listen to scenarios from Louis Sachar's, Holes, after discussing probability in everyday life. They pretend they are detectives who are...
Curated OER
Probability
Learners explore probability. In this probability lesson plan, students define theoretical probability and experimental probability. Learners predict outcomes of hands on activities using coins and colored tiles, complete a chart...
Curated OER
Picking Chips: Experimental Probability
Learners apply the concepts of an event occurring to playing a game. In this probability lesson,students differentiate between experimental and theoretical probability.
Curated OER
Probability of Childhood Games
Young scholars explore the concept of probability. In this probability lesson, students find the probability of certain situations including spinning a spinner, drawing marbles from a bag, and rolling a dice.
EngageNY
Chance Experiments with Outcomes That Are Not Equally Likely
The fifth portion of the 25-part series introduces probabilities calculated from outcomes that are not equally likely. Class members use tables to calculate probabilities of events, add outcome's probabilities, and find complements....
Curated OER
Rolling Twice
Rolling dice is the best way to show your learners how probability comes in to play. Although this lesson does not specify an activity, your mathematicians can try this probability with real dice to calculate their experimental...