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Illustrative Mathematics
Sounds Really Good! (Sort Of...)
Winning a lottery game with 60% odds sounds like a no brainer. This is when the math kicks in to show players that in the long run, they lose money the more often they play. Here is one simple question that opens the doors to a nice...
EngageNY
The Difference Between Theoretical Probabilities and Estimated Probabilities
Flip a coin to determine whether the probability of heads is one-half. Pupils use simulated data to find the experimental probability of flipping a coin. Participants compare the long run relative frequency with the known theoretical...
Noyce Foundation
Counters
For some, probability is a losing proposition. The assessment item requires an understanding of fraction operations, probability, and fair games. Pupils determine the fractional portions of an event. They continue to determine whether...
EngageNY
End-of-Module Assessment Task - Precalculus (Module 5)
Give your young scholars a chance to show what they've learned from the module. The last installment of a 21-part series is an end-of-module assessment task. It covers basic and conditional probabilities, expected value, and...
Mathematics Assessment Project
Lottery
A probability activity presents a lottery game as an idea for a fundraiser. Pupils analyze the game to determine the number of possible outcomes, then determine whether the game would be a good way to raise funds and to support...
Curated OER
Sounds Really Good! (sort of...)
Your friend Phil wants to know if he should play the lottery. Have your class use the given data to compute the expected value and explain to Phil what he should do and why. This handout is ideal for a quick assessment of skill and...