Curated OER
Take a Chance on Probability
Connect ratios, probability, and combination outcomes with a challenging activity idea. It guides your learners through probability of an event as fractions or ratios, on a number line, and with correct vocabulary. The class will be...
S2tem Centers SC
Investigating Chance Processes of Probability
How likely is it that the school cafeteria will serve chicken tomorrow? Discover the concept of probability with the roll of the dice. Pupils evaluate the liklihood of several statments about everyday life. Then, a mathematical...
Curated OER
Conditional Probability and Probability of Simultaneous Events
Students explore the concept of conditional probability and probability of simultaneous events. In this conditional probability and probability of simultaneous events lesson, students roll dice or use and applet to roll dice to determine...
Curated OER
Probability for the Novice
The comprehensive, overall purpose in teaching probability is to help students draw conclusions about the characteristics of a large group given a small sample taken from the group. Probability is related to predicting the chance of a...
EngageNY
Calculating Conditional Probabilities and Evaluating Independence Using Two-Way Tables (part 1)
Being a statistician means never having to say you're certain! Learners develop two-way frequency tables and calculate conditional and independent probabilities. They understand probability as a method of making a prediction.
Curated OER
Explorations for the Area Probability Applet
Math whizzes use the area probability applet to manipulate the size of the circle and the rectangle to explore the probability that a point in the rectangle is also in the circle.
Illustrative Mathematics
Heads or Tails
Heads! A great way to practice probability is to flip a coin in class. The provided data allows your mathematicians to predict the probability of heads in ten coin flips. Bring coins to class and allow your own trial of heads or tails....
Curated OER
Probability and Applications of Simulations
Middle schoolers apply properties of probability to the real world. In this probability lesson, learners simulate the construction of empirical distribution. They collect and analyze data using central tendencies.
Curated OER
Data and Probability: What is the Best Snack?
In this math/nutrition instructional activity, the nutritional value of 3 snack foods is recorded on a data chart and represented on a bar graph. Young scholars analyze and compare information, construct data charts and related bar...
Curated OER
Probability using M & M's
Using M & M's candies, young statisticians predict the color distribution in a packet of candies and test their predictions against their group and the larger class. A review of converting between fractions, decimals, and percents...
Curated OER
"Lucky Charms": Interpreting Data and Making Predictions
Seventh graders determine if a "lucky charm" will increase their chances of winning a game. Students calculate the experimental probability of each player in a game. They observe and collect data from each activity. Students compare the...
Curated OER
Fire!, Probability, and Chaos
Upper elementary and middle schoolers work with the concept of probability. They are introduced to the concept of chaos. Learners graph and analyze using a line plot, work with mean, and are introduced to the concept of variance.
Curated OER
Hatchet: Predicting the Outcome Guide
What will happen in Hatchet by Gary Paulsen? Kids read a series of possible events that will occur in the novel and mark whether they agree or disagree with the probability of each event happening.
MENSA Education & Research Foundation
Probably Probability
Reinforce the concept of probability with a series of lessons highlighting the idea of likelihood, probability formulas, relative frequency, outcomes, and event predictions. The collection is made up of four lessons offering informative...
Illustrative Mathematics
Tossing Cylinders
Everyone loves a lesson that involves throwing things around! To understand probability, your experimenters will predict how different cylinder-shaped objects will land when tossed. When the data is collected, they will calculate the...
EngageNY
Calculating Conditional Probabilities and Evaluating Independence Using Two-Way Tables (part 2)
Without data, all you are is another person with an opinion. Show learners the power of statistics and probability in making conclusions and predictions. Using two-way frequency tables, learners determine independence by analyzing...
EngageNY
Calculating Probabilities of Events Using Two-Way Tables
Tables are useful for more than just eating. Learners use tables to organize data and calculate probabilities and conditional probabilities.
American Statistical Association
What is the Probability of “Pigging Out”
Learners apply their understanding of luck to a probability experiment. They play a game of Pass the Pigs to determine the probability of a specific outcome. Using analysis for their data, pupils declare the measures of center, dot...
American Statistical Association
Exploring Geometric Probabilities with Buffon’s Coin Problem
Scholars create and perform experiments attempting to answer Buffon's Coin problem. They discover the relationships between geometry and probability, empirical and theoretical probabilities, and area of a circle and square.
Curated OER
How Probable is It?
Students explore probability. In this probability lesson plan, students look at videos and websites where they discover probability facts that can be used in situations. They determine the probability of different events.
Curated OER
Probability Using M&M's
Students estimate and then count the number of each color of M&M's in their bag. In this mathematics lesson, students find the experimental probability of selecting each color from the bag. Students create pictographs and bar graphs...
Curated OER
Probability
Second graders experiment with probability. In this probability lesson, 2nd graders pick colored beans from a bag to find the chance of getting different colors. They make fair and unfair spinners and record the data after spinning them.
Curated OER
High or Low- Probability
Students use playing cards to examine probability. In this probability lesson, students work in groups with a deck of cards and predict if the next card they lay down will be high or low. Students fill out a graphic organizer with their...
Curated OER
Chances Are
Upper graders examine the concept of probability. They collect data and create a bar graph. They must interpret the data as well. Everyone engages in hands-on games and activities which lead them to predict possible outcomes for a...