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Lesson Plan
American Institutes for Research

Data and Probability: Marshmallow Madness

For Teachers 5th - 8th Standards
Upper grade and middle schoolers make predictions, collect data, and interpret the data as it relates to the concept of probability. They work with a partner tossing marshmallows and recording if they land on their side or on their...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Normal Distributions (part 2)

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
From z-scores to probability. Learners put together the concepts from the previous lessons to determine the probability of a given range of outcomes. They make predictions and interpret them in the context of the problem.
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Instructional Video17:07
2
2
Flipped Math

More Probability

For Students 9th - 12th Standards
Multiply the amount of probability using addition. Pupils use probabilities to make predictions in problems. They find shortcuts to find probabilities instead of listing the entire sample space. The learners then use the multiplication...
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Unit Plan
National Security Agency

Are You Game? A Lesson Connecting Fractions and Probability

For Teachers 5th - 7th Standards
Exactly how fair are the board games children grow up playing? Young mathematicians investigate this questions as they work their way through this five-lesson series on basic probability. 
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Workbook
1
1
Utah Education Network (UEN)

Probability and Statistics

For Students 7th Standards
MAD about statistics? In the seventh chapter of an eight-part seventh-grade workbook series, learners develop probability models and use statistics to draw inferences. In addition, learners play games and conduct experiments to determine...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Calculating Probabilities of Events Using Two-Way Tables

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
Tables are useful for more than just eating. Learners use tables to organize data and calculate probabilities and conditional probabilities. 
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Probability with Number Cubes

For Teachers 2nd
Second graders make sampling predictions, predict outcomes and explore probability through experimentation.
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Range, Cluster, Gap and Outliers

For Teachers 6th - 9th
There are a number of activities here where learners collect and record data, as well as, activities where the likelihood of an event happening is calculated given the experimental probability. Young statisticians organize information...
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Interactive
Curated OER

Cause-Effect Facts and Predictions

For Students 5th - 10th
In this cause and effect worksheet, students choose the correct words to complete the sentences about facts and predictions of cause and effect relationships. Students complete 21 sentences.
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Explorations for the Area Probability Applet

For Teachers 7th - 10th
Math whizzes use the area probability applet to manipulate the size of the circle and the rectangle to explore the probability that a point in the rectangle is also in the circle.
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Data and Probability: What is the Best Snack?

For Teachers 2nd - 4th
In this math/nutrition lesson, the nutritional value of 3 snack foods is recorded on a data chart and represented on a bar graph. Students analyze and compare information, construct data charts and related bar graphs, and draw...
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Lesson Plan
Film English

Inseparable

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
Built around a moving short film about second chances and tough choices, this instructional activity mixes grammar, prediction, and narrative writing. Pupils practice with adjectives and prefixes before moving on to the film. The...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Data Analysis and Probability: Graphing Candy with Excel

For Teachers 5th - 8th
Collect and graph data using Microsoft Excel with your math class. They will make predictions about the number of each colored candy in a bag of M&M's, then sort, classify, count, and record the actual data before using Excel to...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Probability and Applications of Simulations

For Teachers 7th - 9th
Middle schoolers apply properties of probability to the real world. In this probability lesson, learners simulate the construction of empirical distribution. They collect and analyze data using central tendencies.
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Fire!, Probability, and Chaos

For Teachers 5th - 7th
Upper elementary and middle schoolers work with the concept of probability. They are introduced to the concept of chaos. Learners graph and analyze using a line plot, work with mean, and are introduced to the concept of variance.
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Probability and Statistics

For Teachers 3rd - 5th
Elementary schoolers choose from a host of activities to investigate probability and statistics. They complete worksheets, create 3-D graphs, and play graph bingo. They make weather predictions and list all the possibilities before going...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Predicting the Future

For Teachers 4th - 8th
Students examine how scientists predict the effects of global climate change. In this environmental science lesson, students participate in a discussion about using computer generated data to create climate predictions. Students examine...
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Assessment
Noyce Foundation

Fair Game?

For Teachers 6th - 7th Standards
The game should be fair at all costs. The mini-assessment revolves around the ability to use probabilities to determine whether a game is fair. Individuals determine compound events to calculate simple probabilities and make long-run...
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Lesson Plan
American Statistical Association

Exploring Geometric Probabilities with Buffon’s Coin Problem

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Scholars create and perform experiments attempting to answer Buffon's Coin problem. They discover the relationships between geometry and probability, empirical and theoretical probabilities, and area of a circle and square.
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Chances Are: Talking Probability

For Teachers 4th - 5th
Students explore probability and the process of data analysis and predictions. They participate in two activities, one involving a calculator and one the Internet, in which they make predictions and conduct activities to test their...
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Lesson Plan
Illustrative Mathematics

Tossing Cylinders

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Everyone loves a lesson that involves throwing things around! To understand probability, your experimenters will predict how different cylinder-shaped objects will land when tossed. When the data is collected, they will calculate the...
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Lesson Plan
American Statistical Association

What is the Probability of “Pigging Out”

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Learners apply their understanding of luck to a probability experiment. They play a game of Pass the Pigs to determine the probability of a specific outcome. Using analysis for their data, pupils declare the measures of center, dot...
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Activity
US Department of Agriculture

Sink or Float?

For Teachers 2nd - 3rd Standards
Will it sink or will it float? Learners predict the outcome as they drop random objects into a container of water. Then, they keep track of the results and record the data in a t-chart to draw a final conclusion.
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Worksheet
Math Worksheets Land

Probability of Chance Events - Guided Lesson

For Students 6th - 8th Standards
Show learners that their choices can change based on probability. The lesson discusses the idea of theoretical and experimental probability when choosing items or flipping a coin. Use the page with the additional resources provided for a...

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