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Unit Plan
Mathematics Vision Project

Module 8: Probability

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
It's probably a good idea to use the unit. Young mathematicians learn about conditional probability using Venn diagrams, tree diagrams, and two-way tables. They also take into consideration independence and the addition rules.
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Determining Discrete Probability Distributions 2

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
Investigate how long-run outcomes approach the calculated probability distribution. The 10th installment of a 21-part module continues work on probability distributions from the previous lesson. They pool class data to see how conducting...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Applying Probability to Make Informed Decisions

For Teachers 7th Standards
Use simulations to determine the probabilities of events to make decisions. Class members are presented with several scenarios, some with known probabilities and others without. Groups run simulations to gather data that they then...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Analyzing Decisions and Strategies Using Probability 1

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
Learn how to increase the probability of success. The 19th installment of a 21-part module teaches future mathematicians how to use probability to analyze decisions. They determine strategies to maximize the chances of a desired outcome.
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Calculating Conditional Probabilities and Evaluating Independence Using Two-Way Tables (part 2)

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
Without data, all you are is another person with an opinion. Show learners the power of statistics and probability in making conclusions and predictions. Using two-way frequency tables, learners determine independence by analyzing...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Probability Distribution of a Discrete Random Variable

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
Learn how to analyze probability distributions. The sixth installment of a 21-part module teaches pupils to use probability distributions to determine the long-run behavior of a discrete random variable. They create graphs of probability...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Estimating Probability Distributions Empirically 1

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
What if you don't have theoretical probabilities with which to create probability distributions? The 11th installment of a 21-part module has scholars collecting data through a survey. The results of the survey provide empirical data to...
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Lesson Plan
Illustrative Mathematics

Tossing Cylinders

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Everyone loves a lesson that involves throwing things around! To understand probability, your experimenters will predict how different cylinder-shaped objects will land when tossed. When the data is collected, they will calculate the...
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Lesson Plan
American Statistical Association

What is the Probability of “Pigging Out”

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Learners apply their understanding of luck to a probability experiment. They play a game of Pass the Pigs to determine the probability of a specific outcome. Using analysis for their data, pupils declare the measures of center, dot...
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Lesson Plan
American Statistical Association

Exploring Geometric Probabilities with Buffon’s Coin Problem

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Scholars create and perform experiments attempting to answer Buffon's Coin problem. They discover the relationships between geometry and probability, empirical and theoretical probabilities, and area of a circle and square.
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Lesson Plan
MENSA Education & Research Foundation

Probably Probability

For Students 6th - 8th Standards
Reinforce the concept of probability with a series of lessons highlighting the idea of likelihood, probability formulas, relative frequency, outcomes, and event predictions. The collection is made up of four lessons offering informative...
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Worksheet
College of Marin

General Addition and Multiplication Rules of Conditional Probabilities

For Students 10th - Higher Ed Standards
Making connections between multiple methods of solving problems is an important part of understanding conditional probability. The lesson shows solutions to problems using Venn diagrams, tree diagrams, formulas, and...
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Lesson Plan
Mathematics Assessment Project

Representing Probabilities: Medical Testing

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
Test probability concepts with an activity that asks pupils to first complete a task investigating false positive in medical testing and then to evaluate sample responses to the same task.
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Lesson Plan
University of Nottingham

Modeling Conditional Probabilities: 2

For Teachers 10th - 12th Standards
Bring the concept of conditional probability alive by allowing your classes to explore different probability scenarios. Many tasks have multiple solutions that encourage students to continue exploring their problems even after a solution...
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Assessment
Mathematics Assessment Project

Statistics and Probability

For Students 7th - 8th Standards
Quickly assess basic understandings of statistics and probability. The resource contains five quick tasks from the probability and statistics domain. The questions range from finding simple conditional probabilities to measures of...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Probability Rules (part 2)

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
Ensure your pupils are rule followers! Learners add the addition rule to the set of probability rules examined in the previous lesson. Problems require both the multiplication and addition rule.
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Worksheet
Math Worksheets Land

Probability of Chance Events - Guided Lesson

For Students 6th - 8th Standards
Show learners that their choices can change based on probability. The lesson discusses the idea of theoretical and experimental probability when choosing items or flipping a coin. Use the page with the additional resources...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Conducting a Simulation to Estimate the Probability of an Event II

For Teachers 7th Standards
Add some randomization into simulations. The 11th installment in a series of 25 presents two new methods to use in simulations--colored disks, and random numbers. Pupils use random numbers to run simulations where the probabilities make...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Using Permutations and Combinations to Compute Probabilities

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
Now that we know about permutations and combinations, we can finally solve probability problems. The fourth installment of a 21-part module has future mathematicians analyzing word problems to determine whether permutations or...
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Instructional Video12:06
Crash Course

Probability Part 2: Updating Your Beliefs with Bayes: Crash Course Statistics #14

For Students 9th - 12th Standards
There are days when you just want to learn about Bayes' theorem. Viewers watch an engaging YouTube video to see how Bayes' theorem connects to conditional probability. They explore how Bayesian statistics differ from frequentist...
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Lesson Plan
National Council of Teachers of Mathematics

The Game of SKUNK

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Do I stand or do I sit? The class plays a dice game where they must decide to either continue to stand and play or sit down and keep their points. After the game, groups discuss individuals' strategies and see connections to the...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

The Random Walk

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
Deep mathematical thinking is found with just a coin and a number line. Combining computing some probabilities in a discrete situation, and the interpretation of a function, this simple task gives learners a lot to think about on...
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Instructional Video
1
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statisticsfun

How to Calculate Probability With and Without Replacement Using Marbles

For Students 9th - 12th Standards
Math can give you an advantage in many games, you just have to know where to find it! Learn how to calculate probability to decide on a strategy to better your chance of winning. The video examines the difference between compound...
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Instructional Video6:49
1
1
statisticsfun

How to Calculate Probablity, Addition, and Complements

For Students 9th - 12th Standards
Conditional probability problems love dice. Wanna bet on the answers? The last video in a series of six thoroughly explains the possible outcomes when rolling dice. Additionally, it describes the process of calculating the...

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