{"page":"\u003clink rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https://lessonplanet.com/assets/packs/css/resources-c03aa079.css\" /\u003e\n\u003clink rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https://lessonplanet.com/assets/packs/css/lp_boclips_stylesheets-517835be.css\" media=\"all\" /\u003e\n\u003cdiv data-title='How is the region anticipating Tehran\u0026#39;s elections?' data-url='/boclips/videos/5c54d459d8eafeecae1f1ec1' data-video-url='/boclips/videos/5c54d459d8eafeecae1f1ec1' id='bo_player_modal'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='boclips-resource-page modal-dialog panel-container'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='react-notifications-root'\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-header'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-type'\u003e\n\u003ci aria-hidden='true' class='fai fa-regular fa-circle-play'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\nVideo\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003ch1 class='rp-title' id='video-title'\u003e\nHow is the region anticipating Tehran\u0026#39;s elections?\n\u003c/h1\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-actions'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='mr-1'\u003e\n\u003ca class=\"btn btn-success\" data-posthog-event=\"Signup: LP Signup Activity\" data-posthog-location=\"body_link_boclips\" data-remote=\"true\" href=\"/subscription/new\"\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cspan\u003eGet Free Access\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"\"\u003e for 10 Days\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e!\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-body'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-info'\u003e\n\u003cdiv aria-label='Hide resource details' class='rp-hide-info' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u0026times;\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003ci aria-label='Expand resource details' class='rp-expand-info fai fa-solid fa-up-right-and-down-left-from-center' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\n\u003ci aria-label='Compress resource details' class='rp-compress-info fai fa-solid fa-down-left-and-up-right-to-center' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-rating'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='resource-pool'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='pool-label'\u003ePublisher:\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003cspan class='pool-name'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='text'\u003e\u003ca data-publisher-id=\"30356011\" href=\"/search?publisher_ids%5B%5D=30356011\"\u003eCurated Video\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-description'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='short-description'\u003eLEADIN:Analysts from Egypt and Lebanon consider the regional impact of the upcoming Iranian election.STORYLINE:In the shadow of the Alborz mountain range, Tehran residents are getting ready to vote.The 12th Iranian presidential election...\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003cspan class='full-description hide'\u003eLEADIN:Analysts from Egypt and Lebanon consider the regional impact of the upcoming Iranian election.STORYLINE:In the shadow of the Alborz mountain range, Tehran residents are getting ready to vote.The 12th Iranian presidential election will be held on 19 May.Five candidates are running for the presidency.The election is largely viewed as a referendum on the 2015 nuclear deal struck with world powers shepherded by incumbent Hassan Rouhani's administration. That agreement saw Iran limit its enrichment of uranium in exchange for the lifting of some economic sanctions.And outside Iran's borders, regional analysts are paying close attention to the vote.Mohammed Mohsen Abo el-Nor, a Cairo-based political analyst, says it is \"one of the most important elections in the history of the Islamic Republic\". \"The next four years could reveal the identity of the new Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic in view of the ailing health of the current Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei,\" he says.But he doesn't believe the result will affect Iran-Arab relations because foreign policy powers lie with the Supreme Leader rather than the president.Rouhani remains the favourite as every Iranian president since 1981, when Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei himself took the presidency, has won re-election.However, most Iranians have yet to see the benefits of the nuclear deal.\"It is likely that Hassan Rouhani will be the next president of Iran because he is the most suitable choice at the moment for Khamenei and the Iranian people on the street,\" says el-Nor.\"For Khamenei, he is the most suitable to continue openness towards the West and he is the most suitable to the Iranian street because none of the other candidates have any significant popularity.\"In Lebanon, the potential for fallout from the election is significant.The tiny country has a special relationship with the Islamic Republic due to its large Shia community and the presence of the powerful political and armed group Hezbollah, a key ally of Iran.Hezbollah has been fighting in Syria alongside the Iranians in support of President Bashar Assad.But Maha Yahya, Director of Carnegie Middle East Centre, doesn't think the outcome of the election will change opinions here.\"For many Lebanese, Iran is Iran, and irrespective of who is at the head of the helm,\" she says.She says Lebanese citizens \"see Iran's power expanding in the region\" and they believe the Islamic Republic is using Hezbollah to interfere with the country's leadership.Today (Monday) conservative candidate Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf dropped out of the election to back a hard-liner.The Tehran Mayor made the decision to boost the chances of Ebrahim Raisi, believed to be close to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.Raisi, a former attorney general, serves as the head of the Imam Reza charity foundation, which manages a vast conglomerate of businesses and endowments in Iran.He has been campaigning on that, proposing populist cash payments for the poor that have proven popular in the country in the past under Ahmadinejad.Raisi already has the support of two major clerical bodies that declined to endorse anyone in the last presidential election, snubbing Rouhani, who himself is a cleric.Yahya says a more hard line Iran could mean \"more political and military turbulence\" for Lebanon.\"A Rouhani win probably means the continuation of the status quo to some extent,\" she adds.She believes the Lebanese population would prefer a Rouhani victory and would be \"worried\" if Raisi took the presidency.\"But at the end of the game, the bottom line is Iran is Iran and Iran's influence here is just very detrimental for the country, irrespective of who's in power.\"++Associated Press is adhering to Iranian law that stipulates all media are banned from providing BBC Persian, VOA Persian or Manoto 1 any coverage from Iran, and under this law if any media violate this ban the Iranian authorities can immediately shut down that organisation in Tehran.++ASSOCIATED PRESS - NO BBC PERSIAN/NO VOA PERSIAN/NO MANOTO 1 Tehran, Iran - 10 May 20171. Wide of highway and cars in Tehran2. Various of campaign posters for Hassan Rouhani, incumbent presidentASSOCIATED PRESS - AP CLIENTS ONLYCairo, Egypt - 14 May 20173. Mid of political analyst Mohammed Mohsen Abo el-Nor 4. SOUNDBITE (Arabic) Mohammed Mohsen Abo el-Nor, political analyst: \"The upcoming Iranian presidential elections will be one of the most important elections in the history of the Islamic Republic since the success of the revolution in 1979 that's because the next four years could reveal the identity of the new Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic in view of the ailing health of the current Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.\"ASSOCIATED PRESS - NO BBC PERSIAN/NO VOA PERSIAN/NO MANOTO 1 Tehran, Iran - 10 May 20175. Wide of campaign office of Ebrahim Raisi, conservative candidate6. Various of newspapers containing election coverageASSOCIATED PRESS  Cairo, Egypt - 14 May 20177. SOUNDBITE (Arabic) Mohammed Mohsen Abo el-Nor, political analyst: \"As for Iranian Arab relations I don't think that this election or the identity of the new president would impact on Iranian Arab-relations because it's not within the powers of the president to formulate foreign policy according to the constitution that exclusively empowers the Supreme Leader to lay the outlines for domestic and external policies of the Islamic Republic\"ASSOCIATED PRESS - NO BBC PERSIAN/NO VOA PERSIAN/NO MANOTO 1 Tehran, Iran - 14 April 20178. Hassan Rouhani, Iranian President and presidential candidate at Iranian Interior Ministry to file paperwork for the race9. Rouhani seated at desk for registration10. Pan from news media to Rouhani at desk11. Close of Rouhani showing two of his inked fingers after signing ASSOCIATED PRESS Cairo, Egypt - 14 May 201712. SOUNDBITE (Arabic) Mohammed Mohsen Abo el-Nor, political analyst: \"It is likely that Hassan Rouhani will be the next president of Iran because he is the most suitable choice at the moment for Khamenei and the Iranian people on the street. For Khamenei, he is the most suitable to continue openness towards the West and he is the most suitable to the Iranian street because none of the other candidates have any significant popularity.\"ASSOCIATED PRESS Beirut, Lebanon - 13 May 201713. Various of Lebanese flag 14. Close of portraits of Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader (right), late Ayatollah Roullah Khomeini (center) and Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah (left), traffic on the street in the background15. Mid of wall graffiti showing a Hezbollah fighter waiving Hezbollah flag16. Wide of traffic, portrait of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on the side of the streetASSOCIATED PRESS Beirut, Lebanon - 12 May 201717. Mid of Maha Yahya, director of Carnegie Middle East Centre, at her desk in front of computer screen18. Close of computer screen showing Carnegie's webpage with Iran's election candidates19. SOUNDBITE (English) Maha Yahya, Director of Carnegie Middle East Centre:\"For many Lebanese, Iran is Iran, and irrespective of who is at the head of the helm. I mean the nuances between Raisi and Rouhani are the same as the nuances between Khatami and Ahmadinejad, did not really make such a huge difference to the ordinary Lebanese. They see Iran's power expanding in the region, they see its influence growing in the region, they see that Iran is using Hezbollah in Lebanon to hijack the ability of the leadership, or to hijack actually the state's prerogatives of war and peace, and to hijack national decision-making, making it more at the sort of behest of the international and regional players. This is the way they see it, at least the way it's perceived by large number of Lebanese who are not followers or supporters of Hezbollah.\" ASSOCIATED PRESS - NO BBC PERSIAN/NO VOA PERSIAN/NO MANOTO 1 Tehran, Iran - 15 April 201720. Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, Tehran mayor and former conservative presidential candidate waving to camerasASSOCIATED PRESS - NO BBC PERSIAN/NO VOA PERSIAN/NO MANOTO 1 Tehran, Iran - 14 April 201721. Presidential candidate Ebrahim Raisi waving at cameras in Interior Ministry22. Pan from news media to Raisi preparing to register for election23. Close of Raisi showing his birth certificate to camerasASSOCIATED PRESS  Beirut, Lebanon - 12 May 201724. SOUNDBITE (English) Maha Yahya, Director of Carnegie Middle East Centre: \"A more hard line Iran, a more confrontational Iran with the United States means that Lebanon is likely to witness even more political and military turbulence, possibly military turbulence; a more confrontational Iran will be a more confrontational Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the Lebanese will pay the price for that. I think this is the kind of immediate impact of the elections in Iran on the Lebanese landscape if you want. A more, a Rouhani win probably means the continuation of the status quo to some extent, barring any other factors that we may take into account such as what Israel thinks or about the arms of Hezbollah and so on and so forth.\"ASSOCIATED PRESS - NO BBC PERSIAN/NO VOA PERSIAN/NO MANOTO 1 Tehran, Iran - 10 May 201725. Wide of street with Rouhani campaign poster in background26. Poster depicting Raisi (left) and Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader (right)27. Wide of building with Raisi posters hanging on it28. Traffic next to Raisi's posters ASSOCIATED PRESS Beirut, Lebanon - 12 May 201729. SOUNDBITE (English) Maha Yahya, Director of Carnegie Middle East Centre: \"Iran is the most powerful player in town because Hezbollah is armed to the teeth, but other players have also been involved through their backing for other political parties. The Saudis have backed political parties in Lebanon, the Qataris have backed political parties, so it's an open-ended game. So I think for the Lebanese in short whether it's, they'd like to see Rouhani but, and they'd be worried about Raisi, maybe slightly more worried, but at the end of the game, the bottom line is Iran is Iran and Iran's influence here is just very detrimental for the country, irrespective of who's in power.\"30. Yahaya in front of computer31. Close of webpage showing candidates' list32. 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