{"page":"\u003clink rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https://lessonplanet.com/assets/packs/css/resources-572d6a42.css\" /\u003e\n\u003clink rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https://lessonplanet.com/assets/packs/css/lp_boclips_stylesheets-f4d0de30.css\" media=\"all\" /\u003e\n\u003cdiv data-title='Scientists: World likely won\u0026#39;t avoid dangerous warming mark  ' data-url='/boclips/videos/5c54d210d8eafeecae1de718' data-video-url='/boclips/videos/5c54d210d8eafeecae1de718' id='bo_player_modal'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='boclips-resource-page modal-dialog panel-container'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='react-notifications-root'\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-header'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-type'\u003e\n\u003ci aria-hidden='true' class='fai fa-regular fa-circle-play'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\nVideo\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003ch1 class='rp-title' id='video-title'\u003e\nScientists: World likely won\u0026#39;t avoid dangerous warming mark  \n\u003c/h1\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-actions'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='mr-1'\u003e\n\u003ca class=\"btn btn-success\" data-posthog-event=\"Signup: LP Signup Activity\" data-posthog-location=\"body_link_boclips\" data-remote=\"true\" href=\"/subscription/new\"\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cspan\u003eGet Free Access\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"\"\u003e for 10 Days\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e!\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-body'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-info'\u003e\n\u003cdiv aria-label='Hide resource details' class='rp-hide-info' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u0026times;\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003ci aria-label='Expand resource details' class='rp-expand-info fai fa-solid fa-up-right-and-down-left-from-center' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\n\u003ci aria-label='Compress resource details' class='rp-compress-info fai fa-solid fa-down-left-and-up-right-to-center' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-rating'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='resource-pool'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='pool-label'\u003ePublisher:\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003cspan class='pool-name'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='text'\u003e\u003ca data-publisher-id=\"30356011\" href=\"/search?publisher_ids%5B%5D=30356011\"\u003eCurated Video\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-description'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='short-description'\u003eLEAD IN  Scientists are telling world leaders that if more isn't done the world will likely hit the agreed-upon dangerous warming level in about 35 years.Six top scientists have released a brief report saying that unless more cuts in...\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003cspan class='full-description hide'\u003eLEAD IN  Scientists are telling world leaders that if more isn't done the world will likely hit the agreed-upon dangerous warming level in about 35 years.Six top scientists have released a brief report saying that unless more cuts in heat-trapping gases are agreed upon within the next several years, the world will warm by another 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree Celsius) by around 2050.STORY LINE :Morocco is experiencing growing desertification as rising temperatures allow the edge of the Sahara Desert to creep ever closer.The harsh climate and low rainfall means little grows here. The next U.N. Climate Conference takes place in Marrakesh on Nov. 7.The Morocco conference is expected to hammer out the difficult details of how to make the Paris Climate agreement work. Ahead of the meeting a team of top scientists istelling world leaders to stop congratulating themselves for the Paris agreement, saying if more isn't done the world will likely hit the agreed-upon dangerous warming level in about 35 years.Six scientists who were leaders in past international climate science conferences have released a brief report today (Thursday ) saying that if even more cuts in heat-trapping gases aren't agreed upon within the next several years, the world will warm by another 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree Celsius) by around 2050.That 1.8 degree mark is key because in 2009 world leaders agreed that they wanted to avoid two degrees Celsius warming (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels.Temperatures have risen about 1 degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) from the pre-industrial times to now, so that danger level is another degree Celsius or 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit.Examining the carbon pollution cuts and curbs promised by 190 nations in an agreement made in Paris last December, the scientists said it's simply not enough.The report's lead author is Sir Robert Watson, a University of East Anglia professor and former World Bank chief scientist who used to be chairman of the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. \"All of the governments in the world met in Paris last year and they agreed that human induced climate change is a huge threat to the environment and to development. They all agreed that we should try to limit the change in temperatures to no more than two degrees celsius relative to pre indsutrial (levels). This is a very laudable goal, all governments of the world agreed with it. However, what we found is the pledges that all of the governments have made will not put us on a pathway to a two degree world, much more a two and a half degree to three and a half degree world. So if governments want to meet that two degree target they have really got to strengthen their pledges.\" Watson recounts a recent meeting he attended alongside the United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki Moon and former US Vice President and climate change activist Al Gore, who were celebrating the Paris accord as a victory, which Watson says he felt was naive. \"Very serious meeting (with) Ban Ki-moon, the Head of the World Bank, Al Gore, all saying Paris (agreement) was a major step forward with some even arguing we have now succeeded. Now the Paris agreement is excellent, but they will, govenments will need to double, triple their efforts. Because by 2030, the emissions will be about the same in 2030 as they are today, that will be about 55 -56 gigatons of carbon dioxide. We need to be in 2030 down at 42 gigatons. We are nowhere near the pathway we need to realise the two degree goal, and if we don't realise that two degree goal we go further, adverse effects on human health, food security, water security, displacing people who live in low lying deltas and adverse affects on our natural ecosystems, our forests, our grasslands, our coral reefs.\"In Paris, the countries also added a secondary tougher goal of limiting warming to just another 0.9 degrees Fahrenheit (half a degree Celsius) as an aspiration.Watson says the targets are unrealistic unless governments act now to combat climate warming. \"If we stay on a high emmission scenario which is where we are today. We will pass 20 - 50, 50% of the model say by 2050. Even if we are on the middle scenario that the intergovernmental panel had, we'd pass it by about 2065. So well before the end of the century. And the 1.5 aspirational target we would probably pass by about 2030 to 2040 under any of the scenarios we have considered.\" However he doesn't predict the worst-case scenario as the most likely outcome, he thinks that governments will act and the world will face a 'middle scenario'. \"At the moment I think we are on the high scenario with the pledges we assume the governments wil do a little bit more than the current pledges. My guess is we will get onto one of the two middle scenarios that would be, if you have to put a best guess. But it will mean governments have to go beyond their current pledges.\" The report isn't published in a scientific journal. Six outside scientists looked at the report for The Associated Press and said the science behind it was sound and so were the conclusions. On Tuesday, scientists at Climate Interactive In Asheville, North Carolina, who weren't part of the report, ran a computer simulation using pledges from the Paris agreement and found that the dangerous mark arrives around 2051. Fam El Hisn, Tata Province, Morocco - 10 June 2015 1. Mid of a tree2. Mid of tree and desert3. Various of damaged palm treesBeijing - 10 - 11 November 20154. Cars on highway with smog5. Traffic on highway with smog6. Close of cyclist with face maskOrdos (Inner Mongolia), China - 3 November 20157. Smoke coming out of chimneys8. Smoke9. Digger loaded with coalWashington DC, United States - September 28, 2016 10. SOUNDBITE: (English) Sir Robert Watson, report lead author and former Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)\"All of the governments in the world met in Paris last year and they agreed that human induced climate change is a huge threat to the environment and to development. They all agreed that we should try to limit the change in temperatures to no more than two degrees celsius relative to pre indsutrial (levels). This is a very laudable goal, all governments of the world agreed with it. However, what we found is the pledges that all of the governments have made will not put us on a pathway to a two degree world, much more a two and a half degree to three and a half degree world. So if governments want to meet that two degree target they have really got to strengthen their pledges.\" Sundarbans, West Bengal, India - 31 January 201511. Various of huts next to broken embankments alongside river Washington DC, United States - September 28, 2016 12. SOUNDBITE: (English) Sir Robert Watson, report lead author and former Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)\"Very serious meeting (with) Ban Ki-moon, the Head of the World Bank, Al Gore, all saying Paris (agreement) was a major step forward with some even arguing we have now succeeded. Now the Paris agreement is excellent, but they will, govenments will need to double, triple their efforts. Because by 2030, the emissions will be about the same in 2030 as they are today, that will be about 55 -56 gigatons of carbon dioxide. We need to be in 2030 down at 42 gigatons. We are nowhere near the pathway we need to realise the two degree goal, and if we don't realise that two degree goal we go further, adverse effects on human health, food security, water security, displacing people who live in low lying deltas and adverse affects on our natural ecosystems, our forests, our grasslands, our coral reefs.\"Mumbai, India - 26 June 201513. Various of rough waters during monsoon seasonMumbai, India - 13 April 201514. Various of people wading through flooded neighbourhoods in Dharavi slumMumbai, India - 30 October 201515. Various of shacks, built on stilts in a slum along the coastWashington DC, United States - September 28, 2016 16. SOUNDBITE: (English) Sir Robert Watson, report lead author and former Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)\"If we stay on a high emmission scenario which is where we are today we will pass 20 - 50, 50% of the model say by 2050. Even if we are on the middle scenarios that the intergovernmental panel had, we'd pass it by about 2065. So well before the end of the century. And the 1.5 aspirational target we would probably pass by about 2030 to 2040 under any of the scenarios we have considered.\" Los Andes, Peru - 5 June 201517. Various of Qori Kalis glacier which is retreating due to a warming climate18. Various of mountain range with snow capped peaks Washington DC, United States - September 28, 2016 20. SOUNDBITE: (English) Sir Robert Watson, report lead author and former Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)\"At the moment I think we are on the high scenario with the pledges we assume the governments wil do a little bit more than the current pledges. My guess is we will get onto one of the two middle scenarios that would be, if you have to put a best guess. But it will mean governments have to go beyond their current pledges.\" Ice sheet near Nuuk, Greenland - 22 July 2015 21. Wide of ice sheet east of Nuuk on Greenland with scientists in background 22. Pan left of river floating on ice sheet 23. Various close shots of water on ice sheet Ilulissat ice fjord, Greenland - 19 July 2015 24. Wide aerial shot of the Ilulissat ice fjord running from the Sermeq Kujalleq glacier25. Wide aerial high shot of the Ilulissat ice fjordOff the coast near Ilulissat, Greenland - 20 July 2015 26. 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