{"page":"\u003clink rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https://lessonplanet.com/assets/packs/css/resources-572d6a42.css\" /\u003e\n\u003clink rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https://lessonplanet.com/assets/packs/css/lp_boclips_stylesheets-f4d0de30.css\" media=\"all\" /\u003e\n\u003cdiv data-title='Referendum gamble will define legacy of EU’s Cameron' data-url='/boclips/videos/5c54cb33d8eafeecae1a1f00' data-video-url='/boclips/videos/5c54cb33d8eafeecae1a1f00' id='bo_player_modal'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='boclips-resource-page modal-dialog panel-container'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='react-notifications-root'\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-header'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-type'\u003e\n\u003ci aria-hidden='true' class='fai fa-regular fa-circle-play'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\nVideo\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003ch1 class='rp-title' id='video-title'\u003e\nReferendum gamble will define legacy of EU’s Cameron\n\u003c/h1\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-actions'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='mr-1'\u003e\n\u003ca class=\"btn btn-success\" data-posthog-event=\"Signup: LP Signup Activity\" data-posthog-location=\"body_link_boclips\" data-remote=\"true\" href=\"/subscription/new\"\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cspan\u003eGet Free Access\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"\"\u003e for 10 Days\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e!\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-body'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-info'\u003e\n\u003cdiv aria-label='Hide resource details' class='rp-hide-info' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u0026times;\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003ci aria-label='Expand resource details' class='rp-expand-info fai fa-solid fa-up-right-and-down-left-from-center' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\n\u003ci aria-label='Compress resource details' class='rp-compress-info fai fa-solid fa-down-left-and-up-right-to-center' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-rating'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='resource-pool'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='pool-label'\u003ePublisher:\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003cspan class='pool-name'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='text'\u003e\u003ca data-publisher-id=\"30356011\" href=\"/search?publisher_ids%5B%5D=30356011\"\u003eCurated Video\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-description'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='short-description'\u003eIt's often said that David Cameron is a lucky politician who has seemed to coast through politics on instinct and charm during a career that has culminated in six years as British prime minister. But now his luck may be running out. In...\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003cspan class='full-description hide'\u003eIt's often said that David Cameron is a lucky politician who has seemed to coast through politics on instinct and charm during a career that has culminated in six years as British prime minister. But now his luck may be running out. In calling a referendum on Britain's membership in the European Union, Cameron has taken a gamble that could end his career - and take his country out of an international alliance it joined more than 40 years ago. It would be a rare but fateful miscalculation for a politician who has a reputation for thriving under pressure and astutely judging political risks.\"I think he's actually been pretty stunned by the strength of the 'leave' cause,\" said Cameron biographer James Hanning. \"The golden rule is, never hold a referendum unless you're confident of winning it, and I think he thought that the moderate voices would prevail by some distance. But that's not the way the polls are suggesting it's going to go.\" The referendum campaign has been unexpectedly bitter and divisive, and was brought to a shocked halt when Labour lawmaker Jo Cox was shot and stabbed to death in the street last week.Both sides suspended campaigning out of respect for Cox, amid fears that the political fury unleashed by the EU campaign was somehow connected to the killing. Before Cox died, opinion polls had shown surging sentiment in favor of leaving the 28-nation union. A majority of supporters of Cameron's Conservative Party said they would vote to quit the bloc in Thursday's referendum. That's bitter news for Cameron, who called the referendum to puncture growing support for the anti-EU U.K. Independence Party and placate the strongly Eurosceptic right wing of the Conservatives. When he promised the referendum, in 2013, Cameron said it would \"settle this European question in British politics\" once and for all. He told voters he would forge a new deal between Britain and the EU that would make remaining an attractive prospect. At a Brussels summit in February, he won changes to welfare benefits that he said would reduce immigration and an exemption for Britain from the EU's commitment to \"ever-closer union\" - a phrase that stirs images of a European super-state in some patriotic British hearts. But many voters have proved resistant to Cameron's message that Britain is stronger, safer and more economically secure within the EU than it would be outside it. The concessions he gained have been dismissed as paltry by \"leave\" campaigners, who say they will do little to limit immigration from other EU nations because the bloc guarantees free movement among member states. It's a subject that resonates with many voters, who have seen hundreds of thousands of people come to Britain over the past decade from new EU members in Eastern Europe. (Hundreds of thousands of Britons also live in other EU countries, a less remarked-upon fact). Far from healing Conservative divisions over Europe, the referendum has exacerbated them. Cameron has led the \"remain\" campaign, but let Eurosceptic members of his Cabinet call for a \"leave\" vote. As a result, senior Conservatives, including former London Mayor Boris Johnson and Justice Secretary Michael Gove, have spent months attacking him. Tory leader for a decade and Prime Minister since 2010, Cameron has vowed to stay in office if there is a \"leave\" vote. But many feel he will have little choice but to resign quickly, with a pro-Brexit figure like Johnson or Gove his likely successor. Even if Britain votes to remain, Cameron's days as leader are numbered. He has already announced he will step down before the next election in 2020. A deeply divided party will likely want him to leave long before that, so that a new leader can help heal the referendum's wounds, and dissident Conservative lawmakers could trigger a no-confidence vote to oust Cameron. Hanning said 50-year-old Cameron will be worried about what the referendum means for his legacy. A son of privilege, educated at elite Eton College and Oxford University, he has a strong sense of national duty. He won two elections espousing a fiscally conservative, socially moderate \"one-nation Conservatism\" that he believes speaks to a large swath of the British public. Tim Bale, professor of politics at Queen Mary, University of London, said Cameron had hoped to be remembered for restoring the economy after the 2008 financial crisis and for social reforms such as legalizing same-sex marriage. \"I think gay marriage will still be an important one,\" Bale said. \"But unfortunately I think he's going to be remembered in the history books as the prime minister who took us out of Europe.\" UK POOLFILE: London - 11 May 2010++4:3++++DUSK SHOTS++1. Various of newly elected British Prime Minister David Cameron and his wife Samantha getting out of car and heading to Number 10 Downing Street2. Wide of Cameron approaching microphone, media all around3. SOUNDBITE (English) David Cameron, new British Prime Minister\"Her Majesty the Queen has asked me to form a new government, and I have accepted.\"4. Cameron and Samantha waving in front of Number 10AP TELEVISIONLondon - 14 June 20165. Various cutaways of UK Parliament6. Set up of Tim Bale, Professor of Politics, Queen Mary University of London7. SOUNDBITE (English) Tim Bale, Professor of Politics, Queen Mary University of London:\"I think when he called the referendum it didn't seem such a big gamble to be honest. I think he thought the way to the economic argument would overcome any of the arguments that the leave campaign might be able to mount against him, but I don't think he bargained on quite how important the immigration argument would be.\"UK POOLLondon - 6 June 20168. Various Cameron campaigning AP TELEVISIONLondon - 14 June 20169. SOUNDBITE (English) Tim Bale, Professor of Politics, Queen Mary University of London:\"I think if Mr Cameron doesn't win this referendum he is going to go down as the Prime Minister who clearly took us out of Europe, but he's also going to I think lose his job. I think it's going to be very, very difficult for someone who fronted the 'Remain' campaign and said some of the things he said about other politicians and about the disaster that Brexit would be, to carry on as Prime Minister.\"10. Cutaway 11. SOUNDBITE (English) Tim Bale, Professor of Politics, Queen Mary University of London:\"I think all Prime Ministers especially when they know they are coming to the end think about their legacy. Mr Cameron would have hoped that his legacy would have been a slow recovery from the awful situation the economy got into before 2010, and perhaps gay marriage - I think gay marriage will still be an important one but I think unfortunately he is going to be remembered in history, and in history books as the Prime Minister who took us out of Europe.\"UK POOLFILE: London - 20 February 201612. SOUNDBITE (English) David Cameron, British Prime Minister:\"I have just chaired a meeting of the cabinet in which I updated them on the special status we have secured for Britain and the cabinet agreed that the government's position would be to recommend that Britain remains in a reformed European Union. UK POOLFILE: London - 17 May 201613. Cameron being greeted on stage14. SOUNDBITE (English) David Cameron, British Prime Minister:\"Basically there are 3 million jobs in our country that are dependent in some way on trade with the single market. Now I don't argue all those jobs would go but if we were to restrict our trade with the single market clearly they are going to be affected.\"AP TELEVISIONLondon - 14 June 201615. Set up of James Hanning, former Deputy Editor of The Independent on Sunday and the co-author of a biography of David Cameron16. Cutaway of photo in book showing Cameron as a student17. SOUNDBITE (English) James Hanning, co-author of 'Cameron, Practically a Conservative':\"I think he's actually been pretty stunned by the strength of the leave cause. The golden rule is never hold a referendum unless you're confident of winning it, and I think he thought the moderate voices would prevail by some distance but that's not the way the polls are suggesting it's going to go.\"18. Cutaway of book19. SOUNDBITE (English) James Hanning, co-author of 'Cameron, Practically a Conservative':\"Well I think he has had big shock. A few months ago I imagine he was sitting there thinking well I can leave serenely having won two general elections and three referendums and that's a pretty good record for any Prime Minister. Suddenly things are looking very different. I don't think he's ever wanted to leave the EU, I don't think he's a real Eurosceptic at all although he is claiming to be, and I think if we do leave he will be looking back and thinking we will have left the EU almost by accident and that's a huge mark against him and I think he will find that quite a hard cross to bear.\"20. Cutaway of book21. SOUNDBITE (English) James Hanning, co-author of 'Cameron, Practically a Conservative':\"I think there are a great many people in the Tory party who think this referendum has been a big mistake and while he will legitimately be able to claim some sort of vindication of his choice to hold a referendum (if remain wins) and the issue has been ventilated and presumably it will be off the agenda for a good while in the eyes of at least most of the party, I think a lot of people will be saying ok, he's had his time, that's enough.\"UK POOLFILE: Eastleigh, Hampshire – 23 May 201622. British Chancellor George Osborne and British Prime Minister David Cameron approaching lecterns23. SOUNDBITE (English) David Cameron, British Prime Minister:\"The shock to our economy after leaving Europe would tip the country into recession. This could be for the first time in history a recession brought on ourselves. As I stand here in B\u0026amp;Q, it would be a DIY recession. And it really matters to everyone.\"24. 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