{"page":"\u003clink rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https://lessonplanet.com/assets/packs/css/resources-c03aa079.css\" /\u003e\n\u003clink rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https://lessonplanet.com/assets/packs/css/lp_boclips_stylesheets-517835be.css\" media=\"all\" /\u003e\n\u003cdiv data-title='Just over a third of U.S. adults are obese. By 2030, 42 percent will be, says a forecast released Monday. That\u0026#39;s not nearly as many as experts had predicted, but the new forecast suggests even small continuing increases will add up.' data-url='/boclips/videos/5c54c40fd8eafeecae165ee7' data-video-url='/boclips/videos/5c54c40fd8eafeecae165ee7' id='bo_player_modal'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='boclips-resource-page modal-dialog panel-container'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='react-notifications-root'\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-header'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-type'\u003e\n\u003ci aria-hidden='true' class='fai fa-regular fa-circle-play'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\nVideo\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003ch1 class='rp-title' id='video-title'\u003e\nJust over a third of U.S. adults are obese. By 2030, 42 percent will be, says a forecast released Monday. That\u0026#39;s not nearly as many as experts had predicted, but the new forecast suggests even small continuing increases will add up.\n\u003c/h1\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-actions'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='mr-1'\u003e\n\u003ca class=\"btn btn-success\" data-posthog-event=\"Signup: LP Signup Activity\" data-posthog-location=\"body_link_boclips\" data-remote=\"true\" href=\"/subscription/new\"\u003e\u003cspan\u003e\u003cspan\u003eGet Free Access\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"\"\u003e for 10 Days\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003e!\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-body'\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-info'\u003e\n\u003cdiv aria-label='Hide resource details' class='rp-hide-info' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u0026times;\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003ci aria-label='Expand resource details' class='rp-expand-info fai fa-solid fa-up-right-and-down-left-from-center' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\n\u003ci aria-label='Compress resource details' class='rp-compress-info fai fa-solid fa-down-left-and-up-right-to-center' role='button' tabindex='0'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-rating'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='resource-pool'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='pool-label'\u003ePublisher:\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003cspan class='pool-name'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='text'\u003e\u003ca data-publisher-id=\"30356011\" href=\"/search?publisher_ids%5B%5D=30356011\"\u003eCurated Video\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-description'\u003e\n\u003cspan class='short-description'\u003eHEADLINE: Health Economist: Obesity Rates Still IncreasingCAPTION: Just over a third of U.S. adults are obese. By 2030, 42 percent will be, says a forecast released Monday. That's not nearly as many as experts had predicted, but the new...\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003cspan class='full-description hide'\u003eHEADLINE: Health Economist: Obesity Rates Still Increasing\u003cbr/\u003eCAPTION: Just over a third of U.S. adults are obese. By 2030, 42 percent will be, says a forecast released Monday. That's not nearly as many as experts had predicted, but the new forecast suggests even small continuing increases will add up. (May 7)\u003cbr/\u003e[Location - Date:Washington D.C. -- May 7, 2012]\u003cbr/\u003e[Source:AP; AP file]\u003cbr/\u003eSOT Eric Finkelstein, Duke University health economist, who led the new CDC-funded forecast: \"Sure. I guess there were two take-home messages.  The first is that obesity prevalence today is about 34 percent. We're predicting that to go up to about 42 percent by 2030.  And, in fact, we're predicting a doubling of severe obesity about a hundred pounds overweight from five percent to around eleven percent.\"\u003cbr/\u003eSOT Eric Finkelstein, Duke University health economist, who led the new CDC-funded forecast: \"So our 42 percent increase in obesity rates is about 32 million individuals. So those individuals are expensive and what we're saying is that the cost of obesity by 2030 if you add it all up is going to be about another 550 billion dollars. So even if you keep obesity levels at what they are today by 2030 you would save 550 billion dollars.\"\u003cbr/\u003eSOT Eric Finkelstein, Duke University health economist, who led the new CDC-funded forecast: \"Prior forecasts had shown much higher rates of obesity to the future.  Our analysis takes into account a slowing of this trend. But yet the technologies, the food prices, the fast food density, all of these factors are still out there.  And so we're still living in this obesity promoting world, but we are seeing some of the success of past interventions and the fact that the word is getting out there. So there's some good news in this, but yet even then we're still seeing obesity rates increasing.\"\u003cbr/\u003eSOT Eric Finkelstein, Duke University health economist, who led the new CDC-funded forecast:  \"Obesity impacts adversely nearly every system of the human body, but certainly the big ones that you hear about are diabetes. But diabetes has downward complications for heart disease, for hyper tension for all sorts of problems. And then, of course, if you're carrying a lot of excess weight, osteoarthritis, hip and knee problems, sleep apnea, all of these factors combined make obese individuals at much greater risk for premature immortality.\"\u003cbr/\u003eSOT Eric Finkelstein, Duke University health economist, who led the new CDC-funded forecast:  \"The best chance we have to address obesity today and into the future is really to focus on the kids. So that's where I'd put my money.\"\u003cbr/\u003e   WASHINGTON (AP) _ The obesity epidemic may be slowing, but don't take in those pants yet.\u003cbr/\u003e   Today, just over a third of U.S. adults are obese. By 2030, 42 percent will be, says a forecast released Monday.\u003cbr/\u003e   That's not nearly as many as experts had predicted before the once-rapid rises in obesity rates began leveling off. But the new forecast suggests even small continuing increases will add up.\u003cbr/\u003e   \"We still have a very serious problem,\" said obesity specialist Dr. William Dietz of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.\u003cbr/\u003e   Worse, the already obese are getting fatter. Severe obesity will double by 2030, when 11 percent of adults will be nearly 100 pounds overweight, or more, concluded the research led by Duke University.\u003cbr/\u003e   That could be an ominous consequence of childhood obesity. Half of severely obese adults were obese as children, and they put on more pounds as they grew up, said CDC's Dietz.\u003cbr/\u003e   While being overweight increases anyone's risk of diabetes, heart disease and a host of other ailments, the severely obese are most at risk _ and the most expensive to treat.  Already, conservative estimates suggest obesity-related problems account for at least 9 percent of the nation's yearly health spending, or $150 billion a year.\u003cbr/\u003e   Data presented Monday at a major CDC meeting paint something of a mixed picture of the obesity battle. There's some progress: Clearly, the skyrocketing rises in obesity rates of the 1980s and ``90s have ended. But Americans aren't getting thinner.\u003cbr/\u003e   Over the past decade, obesity rates stayed about the same in women, while men experienced a small rise, said CDC's Cynthia Ogden. That increase occurred mostly in higher-income men, for reasons researchers couldn't explain. \u003cbr/\u003e   About 17 percent of the nation's children and teens were obese in 2009 and 2010, the latest available data. That's about the same as at the beginning of the decade, although a closer look by Ogden shows continued small increases in boys, especially African-American boys.\u003cbr/\u003e   Does that mean obesity has plateaued? Well, some larger CDC databases show continued upticks, said Duke University health economist Eric Finkelstein, who led the new CDC-funded forecast. His study used that information along with other factors that influence obesity rates _ including food prices, prevalence of fast-food restaurants, unemployment _ to come up with what he called \"very reasonable estimates\" for the next two decades.\u003cbr/\u003e   Part of the reason for the continuing rise is that the population is growing and aging. People ages 45 to 64 are most likely to be obese, Finkelstein said. \u003cbr/\u003e   Today, more than 78 million U.S. adults are obese, defined as having a body-mass index of 30 or more. BMI is a measure of weight for height. Someone who's 5-feet-5 would be termed obese at 180 pounds, and severely obese with a BMI of 40 _ 240 pounds.\u003cbr/\u003e   The new forecast suggests 32 million more people could be obese in 2030 _ adding $550 billion in health spending over that time span, Finkelstein said.\u003cbr/\u003e   \"If nothing is done, this is going to really hinder efforts to control health care costs,\" added study co-author Justin Trogdon of RTI International.\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='action-container flex justify-between'\u003e\n\u003cbutton aria-expanded='false' aria-label='Read more description' class='rp-full-description' type='button'\u003e\n\u003ci class='fai fa-solid fa-align-left'\u003e\u003c/i\u003e\n\u003cspan id='read_more'\u003eRead More\u003c/span\u003e\n\u003c/button\u003e\n\u003cdiv class='rp-report'\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv aria-labelledby='resource-details-heading' class='rp-info-section'\u003e\n\u003ch2 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By 2030, 42 percent will be, says a forecast released Monday. That\u0026#39;s not nearly as many as experts had predicted, but the new forecast suggests even small continuing increases will add up.\" href=\"/subscription/new\"\u003e\u003cimg class=\"resource-img img-thumbnail img-responsive z-10 lp-boclips-thumbnail w-full h-full lozad\" alt=\"Just over a third of U.S. adults are obese. By 2030, 42 percent will be, says a forecast released Monday. That\u0026#39;s not nearly as many as experts had predicted, but the new forecast suggests even small continuing increases will add up.\" title=\"Just over a third of U.S. adults are obese. By 2030, 42 percent will be, says a forecast released Monday. 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